zan yi maka bayani dalla-dalla, mataki-mataki, a yadda zaka fahimta sosai ba tare da sauran tambaya ba, in sha Allahu. Wannan hoton yana bayani ne akan daya daga cikin muhimman abubuwa a harkar trading, wato Price Action.
Bari mu fara da warware kowace kalma da alama da ke cikin hoton, sannan mu shiga cikin bayanin chat din gaba daya.
Sashe na 1: Fassarar Mahimman Kalmomi da Alamomi
Kafin mu shiga cikin chat din, yana da muhimmanci ka san ma'anar abubuwan da zaka gani a ciki.
Price Action (Motsin Farashi): Wannan ita ce babbar kalmar. A sauƙaƙe, "Price Action" na nufin nazarin yadda farashin wani abu (kamar kuɗi, zinare, ko crypto) yake motsawa a kan jadawali (chart) ba tare da amfani da wasu na'urorin aunawa (indicators) da yawa ba. Yana kama da ka iya karanta "harshen kasuwa" ta hanyar kallon kyandirori (candlesticks) kawai. Tambayoyin da ke kan hoton, "How is the price reacting?" (Yaya farashin ke amsawa?) da "How is the price moving now?" (Yaya farashin ke motsi a yanzu?), sune ainihin abin da Price Action ke kokarin amsawa.
Candlestick (Kyandir): WaÉ—annan su ne sandunan kore da ja da kake gani. Kowane sanda yana nuna labarin abin da ya faru da farashi a cikin wani lokaci (misali, minti 5, awa 1, ko yini 1).
Kyandir Kore (Bullish Candle): Yana nuna cewa farashin ya tashi a wannan lokacin. Kasan jikinsa shine farashin buÉ—ewa, saman jikinsa kuma farashin rufewa.
Kyandir Ja (Bearish Candle): Yana nuna cewa farashin ya faÉ—i a wannan lokacin. Saman jikinsa shine farashin buÉ—ewa, kasan jikinsa kuma farashin rufewa.
Wutsiya (Wick/Shadow): Siraran layin da ke sama ko kasan kyandir. Yana nuna wuri mafi girma da mafi ƙasƙanci da farashin ya je a wannan lokacin.
Support (Layin Taimako): Wannan shine layin da ke ƙasa (wanda aka zana da launin toka). Yana nuna wani matakin farashi da masu saye suke da ƙarfi, wanda hakan ke hana farashin ci gaba da faɗuwa. Zaka iya ɗaukarsa kamar bene; idan an jefa ƙwallo, zata bugi bene ta koma sama.
Resistance (Layin Tsayayya): Wannan shine layin da ke sama (shi ma an zana shi da launin toka). Yana nuna wani matakin farashi da masu sayarwa suke da ƙarfi, wanda hakan ke hana farashin ci gaba da hawa. Zaka iya ɗaukarsa kamar rufin ɗaki; idan an jefa ƙwallo sama, zata bugi rufi ta dawo ƙasa.
Akwatuna Baƙaƙe (Black Boxes): Waɗannan akwatunan an sa su ne don jawo hankalinka zuwa wasu muhimman wurare a kan chat din inda wani abu mai muhimmanci ya faru, musamman a wuraren Support da Resistance.
Sashe na 2: Sharhin Chat Din Dalla-Dalla
Yanzu bari mu bi chat din daga hagu zuwa dama, muna amfani da abubuwan da muka koya a sama.
Akwati na Farko (Daga Hagu):
Abin da ya faru: Farashin yana ta faÉ—uwa da kyandirori ja, har ya iso Layin Taimako (Support). Da ya iso, sai ka ga wani dogon kyandir kore ya bayyana, wanda ya haÉ—iye kyandir din ja na gabaninsa.
Ma'anarsa: Wannan yana nuna cewa masu saye sun shigo kasuwa da ƙarfi a wannan wurin kuma sun hana farashin ci gaba da faɗuwa. Wannan alama ce ta "rejection" (ƙin yarda), ma'ana kasuwa ta ƙi yarda da farashi ya faɗi ƙasa da wannan wurin. Wannan alama ce mai ƙarfi ta yiwuwar farashin zai fara hawa.
Akwati na Biyu:
Abin da ya faru: Bayan farashin ya hau daga Layin Taimako, ya kai ga Layin Tsayayya (Resistance). Da ya isa, wani dogon kyandir kore ya taɓa layin, amma nan da nan kyandirori ja suka biyo baya, suka fara turo farashin ƙasa.
Ma'anarsa: Wannan yana nuna cewa masu sayarwa sun fi ƙarfi a wannan wurin. Farashin ya kasa fasa layin ya wuce sama. Wannan alama ce ta yiwuwar farashin zai sake komawa ƙasa.
Akwati na Uku:
Abin da ya faru: Farashin ya sake faÉ—owa zuwa ga Layin Taimako (Support). Kamar na farko, an sake samun wani dogon kyandir kore wanda ya nuna an sake hana farashin faÉ—uwa.
Ma'anarsa: Wannan ya ƙara tabbatar da cewa lallai wannan Layin Taimako yana da ƙarfi sosai, domin wannan shine karo na biyu da farashin ya zo wurin kuma aka turo shi sama.
Akwati na HuÉ—u (Mafi Muhimmanci):
Abin da ya faru: Farashin ya hau da ƙarfi sosai har ya fasa (breakout) Layin Tsayayya na baya ya wuce sama. Bayan ya fasa, sai ya sake dawowa ƙasa ya taɓa wannan layin da ya fasa.
Ma'anarsa: Wannan wata ƙa'ida ce mai matuƙar muhimmanci a trading: "Idan aka fasa Resistance, ya kan zama sabon Support". Ma'ana, layin da da yake hana farashin hawa, yanzu ya zama layin da zai taimaka masa ya hana shi faɗuwa. A cikin akwatin, ka ga wani ɗan ƙaramin kyandir ja ya taɓa layin, sannan wani kore ya biyo bayansa, wanda ke nuna cewa lallai layin ya riƙe farashin. Wannan alama ce mai ƙarfi ta ci gaba da hawa sama.
Akwati na Biyar:
Abin da ya faru: Farashin ya sake dawowa ya gwada wannan sabon Layin Taimako (wanda da shine Resistance), kuma an sake samun kyandir kore da ya tashi daga wurin.
Ma'anarsa: Wannan ya ƙara tabbatar da cewa yanzu wannan matakin ya zama wuri mai ƙarfin saye. Bayan wannan, sai ka ga farashin ya ci gaba da hawa sama sosai.
Sashe na 3: Ka'idoji da Zaka Bi a Matsayinka na Mai Koyo
Daga wannan hoton, ga wasu ƙa'idoji da zaka iya riƙewa:
Koyaushe Ka Fara da Neman Support da Resistance: Kafin ka shiga kasuwa, duba chat ka zana layukan da kake tunanin farashi na dawowa daga wurinsu (kamar bene da rufi). Wannan zai baka taswirar inda zaka iya tsammanin wani abu ya faru.
Kada Ka Shiga Trade Kawai Don Farashi Ya Kai Wuri: Kada ka sayi abu kawai don farashi ya kai Support, ko ka sayar don ya kai Resistance. Jira ka ga tabbaci (confirmation). Tabbacin shine irin abubuwan da ke cikin akwatunan nan; ka ga kyandir da ke nuna ƙin yarda (rejection) ko wani tsari na kyandir (candlestick pattern) da ke goyon bayan shawararka.
Yi Hattara da Karyewar Layi (Breakout): Kamar yadda ka gani a misali na huɗu, waɗannan layukan ba su da ƙarfin 100%. Wani lokaci farashi zai fasa su ya wuce. Idan hakan ta faru, zaka iya jiran ya dawo ya gwada layin (retest) kafin ka yanke shawara.
Koyi Ka'idar "Resistance Becomes Support": Wannan É—aya ce daga cikin dabarun da suka fi kawo riba. Idan farashi ya fasa wani Layin Tsayayya, sa ido a kan wurin, domin idan ya dawo, zai iya baka dama mai kyau ta shiga kasuwa (saye). Haka nan, idan aka fasa Layin Taimako, zai iya zama sabon Layin Tsayayya.
Gudanar da Hatsari (Risk Management): Ko da kana amfani da Price Action, babu tabbas 100%. Yana da matuƙar muhimmanci ka saita Stop Loss (wurin da zaka fita daga kasuwa idan farashi ya tafi a saɓanin abin da kake zato) don kare jarin ka.
Kammalawa
A taƙaice, wannan hoton yana koya maka cewa trading ba sai da layuka da na'urori masu yawa ba. Idan ka kware wajen karanta motsin kyandirori a muhimman wurare (Support da Resistance), zaka iya samun kyakkyawar fahimtar abin da kasuwa ke shirin yi. Yana kama da koyon yaren da kasuwa ke magana da shi kai tsaye.





Sir tabbaya nashine yayin da kafitarda resistance line da support line dede lokacin kuma market tayi breakout zakajirane sai market tayi retesting sannan kashiga ko zakiyi enter trade kawai
ReplyDeleteInamagana ne akan price action
Delete